On December 3, exactly one month after this year’s Presidential election, the ARF will return to subjects explored in 2017 about the predictive accuracy of different methods of forecasting—updated to reflect advances in the field and lessons from the 2020 election.
Representatives from leading polling firms, data scientists and social media analysts will discuss: Which polls got the election right & why? How did the non-canonical methods fare? What can market research offer economic forecasting? How to manage stochastic shocks to forecasting models.